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The Next Bubble?

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Post by SFCraig Wed Jul 16, 2008 11:07 am

http://www.theonion.com/content/news/recession_plagued_nation_demands

Very Happy

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Post by Aaron Wed Jul 16, 2008 12:38 pm

Here's a solution.

How about the government staying out of the market, housing, and everything else they are meddling in and let the markets correct themselves.
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Post by SheikBen Wed Jul 16, 2008 1:46 pm

Hi SF,

As it very often does, the Onion makes a great point.

I have a Master's Degree from a second-rate university in a non-economics field, and I knew 10 years ago that housing was going to collapse. I'm not saying that to toot my own horn but just the opposite, to show that it didn't take an economist or an expert to know that the housing market could not sustain itself as it was going.

I don't believe in the American dream (I think someone can work really hard and still die broke) but I also don't believe in "get rich quick" schemes, which real estate had become. People were buying houses "certain" that they could flip them. Even when I bought my own house last November, that late in the game (and for half of what I "should" have paid for it), my friends were telling me to flip it.

It seems to me that what this nation desperately needs is a repentence of both the spiritual and the practical. Leaving aside the former, we need to get back to the idea that money is earned through labor, often very unpleasant labor, and when it is not, it is earned off of the backs of other people laboring. We can't just expect money to fall from the sky and economic prosperity is not our birthright.

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Post by SFCraig Wed Jul 16, 2008 2:21 pm

SheikBen wrote:Hi SF,

It seems to me that what this nation desperately needs is a repentence of both the spiritual and the practical. Leaving aside the former, we need to get back to the idea that money is earned through labor, often very unpleasant labor, and when it is not, it is earned off of the backs of other people laboring. We can't just expect money to fall from the sky and economic prosperity is not our birthright.

A-greed. But that's what fuels America....greed and risky schemes. Obama said, "After 9/11 Bush told us to go shopping". As much as I enjoy the rhetoric, the weird thing is Bush was right. Without us pissing away our money on trinkets the American economy would collapse.

Bring on the next ponzi scheme!

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Post by SheikBen Wed Jul 16, 2008 3:20 pm

Perhaps, but shouldn't that be sending up a big red flag? If we have to survive by selling cheeseburgers and Bratz dolls to each other, doesn't that indicate that somewhere we went horribly, horribly wrong?

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Post by SFCraig Wed Jul 16, 2008 10:31 pm

SheikBen wrote:Perhaps, but shouldn't that be sending up a big red flag? If we have to survive by selling cheeseburgers and Bratz dolls to each other, doesn't that indicate that somewhere we went horribly, horribly wrong?

Yes. It appears as though Capitalistic greed will eat itself.

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Post by SheikBen Wed Jul 16, 2008 11:49 pm

I don't think the problem is capitalism, but rather capitalism devoid of any corporate and public morality. I don't think it can work unless the leaders of corporations and/or the consumers act in a willingly responsible way.

What I can say is that a defining characteristic of the command economy is shortages.

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Post by Aaron Thu Jul 17, 2008 7:42 am

It's also capitalism devoid of government oversite. The entire housing problem could have been prevented simply by the restraining the types of loans banks made, specifically interest only loans and 107% loans. How many of the current foreclosed homes had those types of loans?
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Post by SheikBen Thu Jul 17, 2008 8:31 am

Sure, Aaron, and the irrepsonsible banks need to be the ones "taking it in the shin" rather than the government bailing out people who made risky investment decisions.

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Post by Aaron Thu Jul 17, 2008 10:21 am

I agree Mike. The government shouldn't have bailed out Baer Sterns, Indymac and they certainly shouldn't be propping up Fanny Mae or Freddie Mac.

Here's the thing about housing. No matter how bad it gets, those homes that are now bank owned are not just going to disappear. Sooner or later, the market will reach a bottom and someone's going to make a killing. As Sam pointed out, it likely won't be an everyday joe but someone certainly is going to make a whale of a lot of money.
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Post by SFCraig Thu Jul 17, 2008 1:51 pm

Aaron wrote:Here's a solution.

How about the government staying out of the market, housing, and everything else they are meddling in and let the markets correct themselves.

But then further down you say that a lack of oversight was the problem. Do you want the Government involved or not?

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Post by Aaron Thu Jul 17, 2008 1:57 pm

There's a difference in oversite and control and involvement, don't you agree!!!!!!!!!!
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Post by ziggy Fri Jul 18, 2008 12:44 am

SheikBen wrote:I don't think the problem is capitalism, but rather capitalism devoid of any corporate and public morality.

But you repeat yourself.
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Post by SheikBen Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:08 am

No I don't, Zig. Capitalism is an economic system but it does not preclude moral and corporate responsibility among the players.

In fact, I dare say that capitalism can only work when people act responsibly (we see in the housing crisis what irresponsible activity leads to) but that communism has a perfectly awful track record everywhere beyond small, intentional communities (and indeed I am all about communism at that level).

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Post by SFCraig Fri Jul 18, 2008 10:44 am

Aaron wrote:There's a difference in oversite and control and involvement, don't you agree!!!!!!!!!!

But you say "Government should stay out and let the markets correct themselves"; apparently by the Government gaining oversight? Stay out or get in?

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Post by SFCraig Fri Jul 18, 2008 10:45 am

SheikBen wrote:(and indeed I am all about communism at that level).

Commie!

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Post by Aaron Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:41 am

SFCraig wrote:
Aaron wrote:There's a difference in oversite and control and involvement, don't you agree!!!!!!!!!!

But you say "Government should stay out and let the markets correct themselves"; apparently by the Government gaining oversight? Stay out or get in?

I want the government to do exactly what it is supposed to do, oversite. Had they done their job when banks started making these loans, we wouldn't be in the mess we are today. They share responsibility in the current state of affairs.
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Post by TerryRC Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:52 am

I agree Mike. The government shouldn't have bailed out Baer Sterns, Indymac and they certainly shouldn't be propping up Fanny Mae or Freddie Mac.

Fact. They ignored the other companies and affiliated businesses. Stinks of some sort of favoritism.

Fannie Mae is throwing big bashes for the N't'n'l Conventions of both parties, so obviously they must really need the money.

Makes me want to flip out, sometimes.

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Post by SheikBen Mon Jul 21, 2008 1:05 am

SFCraig wrote:
SheikBen wrote:(and indeed I am all about communism at that level).

Commie!

Sure, Craig, but a communism in which people CHOOSE to live in community, rather than having it forced upon them by the government. Also, in such intentional communities, there is very often a spiritual component that binds the people together.

I find movements like the bruderhof and the Catholic Worker to be excellent. Of course, no one is ever forced into joining either.

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Post by ziggy Mon Jul 21, 2008 9:36 am

And of course no one is ever "forced" to live under a G W Bush or Bill Clinton administered government, right?



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Post by SheikBen Mon Jul 21, 2008 9:42 am

Ziggy,

That's a fair point, but in communism you have ultimate intrusion into the lives of the people (and if they are choosing this it is well and good). Even under that dastardly duo of Snidely Whiplash Clinton and Bozo the President for the past 16 years, the common man and woman has had ample opportunity to criticize the government, make a living and then lose it all, raise a family, go to church or no church at all, etc. You and I have been criticizing the government freely for the past 16 years without troubles or worries. One could never say that in communist states.

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Post by SamCogar Mon Jul 21, 2008 9:58 am

TerryRC wrote:
Fannie Mae is throwing big bashes for the N't'n'l Conventions of both parties, so obviously they must really need the money.

Makes me want to flip out, sometimes.

But this doesn't bother you?

NEW YORK - Freddie Mac Chairman and Chief Executive Richard Syron pocketed nearly $19.8 million in compensation last year, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing Friday, even though the mortgage company's stock lost half its value in 2007.

If Syron stays at the helm of Freddie Mac through the end of next year, he will receive nearly $20 million in stock awards if the board says he has met certain goals. This year, he is guaranteed to get $8.8 million in stock grants regardless of performance.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25740405/


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Post by SFCraig Mon Jul 21, 2008 9:37 pm

SheikBen wrote:
SFCraig wrote:
SheikBen wrote:(and indeed I am all about communism at that level).

Commie!

Sure, Craig, but a communism in which people CHOOSE to live in community, rather than having it forced upon them by the government. Also, in such intentional communities, there is very often a spiritual component that binds the people together.

I find movements like the bruderhof and the Catholic Worker to be excellent. Of course, no one is ever forced into joining either.

How do you feel about being forced into Capitalism? (And I was just teasing when calling you a "commie"). Aren't we really just born into our religions, economic systems, etc? Do you think if you had been born in the UAE you'd be secretly longing to me a Christian and returning those socialist checks from the comfort of your state provided home?

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Post by SheikBen Mon Jul 21, 2008 9:47 pm

We are certainly not born into faith. That was hammered home when I was subjected to the universalist "baptism" of my nephew (and my parents faith)

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Post by SFCraig Mon Jul 21, 2008 9:54 pm

But you're still Christian. You were born and raised in a predominantly Christian nation. Do you think you would have "found Jesus" in China?

Faith aside, it's a difficult thing to rationally believe.

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